Am I kicking myself for adding Clearway Energy to my portfolio late last September? Yes, indeed. And I shedding it now that about 20% of its value has evaporated due to concerns about how the bankruptcy of Clearway customer PG&E will affect Clearway’s bottom line?
Nope. I’m adding more shares to my portfolio now that the price is down.
Hindsight is always 20/20, of course. So it’s easy to sit here today and feel like a fool, realizing how much more my money would have purchased if I’d only waited a couple of months. To be honest, I didn’t realize how big a client PG&E was for Clearway’s renewable energy power business. And I don’t think anyone foresaw a potential bankruptcy for the giant California utility company at that time. And apparently the rest of the market didn’t see the liability either, or it would have been priced into the stock price late last year.
But after listening to management explain the situation on a conference call (it’s archived on Clearway Energy’s website), I’m confident that the possible inability of PG&E to pay all it owes to Clearway isn’t going to sink the company. I’m also confident that major stakeholder and controlling owner Global Infrastructure Partners plans to stand by Clearway and help the company persevere in this period of uncertainty.
Management reduced the dividend by about a third to 20 cents per share in the first quarter. But hey, the previous dividend amounted to nearly a 10% payout rate, so we’re still looking at a dividend yield of around 6% based on the company’s 2/15 share price.
A key question is whether or not the 20 cent per share is sustainable. Management made it clear that there is still uncertainty about the extent to which PG&E’s bankruptcy will have on Clearway’s balance sheet, but I got the impression that they are optimistic and committed to paying a dividend.
A more cautious investor might wait until Clearway’s year end and fourth quarter results are released on February 28, which should provide a little more guidance on the company’s outlook. But me? I’m going ahead and adding a few shares now in anticipation of sunnier days ahead for Clearway.